Jack of Harts

We have had a number of failed early calls when it comes to elections over the years. Dewey Defeats Truman is probably the most famous of them in relatively recent history. Though as the years go by, fewer people alive remember that. We are accustomed to knowing who won an election on either election night or the morning after. Most places quickly count the votes, accurately enough to get an idea of who won. Though when the numbers are close, or the charges of fraud or errors are substantial, it behooves us as a nation not to take announcements at face value. The Dewey Defeats Truman line came from faulty polling. They ran a poll, it said Dewey would win, and they trusted it. They didn’t do another poll to verify or to see if trends were changing. They didn’t listen to the people on election day. They assumed what they wanted to know was accurate, and posted their prediction. They were wrong, because the tide of the voting public had changed while they were not looking. Or did not wish to see…